Invest 95: Gulf of Mexico

[bsmart]

A site of disturbed weather to the south of New Orleans is being watched for tropical development. Two of the most reliable models have it developing into a 50 mph tropical storm and drifting northeastward into Destin. Keep an eye out for it, I am sure it will only be a rainmaker for is if it does decide to visit.

 

[Smiling JOe]

Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Last Updated: 9:43 PM GMT on August 15, 2006 ? Last Comment: 4:35 AM GMT on August 16, 2006

New disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico

Posted by: JeffMasters, 5:41 PM EDT on August 15, 2006

The old frontal boundary that spawned the distubance off the East Coast we're watching has spawned a new disturbance over the Gulf of Mexico this afternoon. A large blow-up of intense thunderstorms south of New Orleans marks the center of this disturbance. With wind shear only 5-10 knots, this region is probably the bigger threat to develop than its sister east of Florida, which is under higher wind shear. Developments from old fronts are usually slow, and I expect Thursday is the earliest we would have to worry about a tropical depression forming. Steering currents are weak, but a slow motion to the south or southwest away from Louisiana should begin tonight. The NHC has not run their package of preliminary model runs on this system yet, but I will post them as soon as they do.

 

[Smiling JOe]

Aug 16 2006
From Dr Jeff Masters
Eleswhere in the tropics
The big burst of thunderstorms that developed in the Gulf of Mexico last night is gone, and no development is likely there today. A rotating area of clouds a few hundred miles northeast of the northernmost Lesser Antilles is associated with an upper level low pressure system. This is not expected to develop.

 

[TooFarTampa]

Aug 16 2006
From Dr Jeff Masters
Eleswhere in the tropics
The big burst of thunderstorms that developed in the Gulf of Mexico last night is gone, and no development is likely there today. A rotating area of clouds a few hundred miles northeast of the northernmost Lesser Antilles is associated with an upper level low pressure system. This is not expected to develop.

:clap_1:

 

[bsmart]

Yep, this thing is history. I also read today that the El Nino conditions developing in the Eastern Pacific should make for a wetter and cooler than average winter in the south. Maybe then we can make up for our rainfall deficits.

 

[Bobby J]

This is really been putting a hurt on my surfing time

 

[2bohemians]

hey bobby ...... we feel your pain

 

[Bobby J]

This has been the flattest summer I can remember. It looks like time to hit the East Coast. Do you all ever go there to surf?

 

[2bohemians]

It has been flat this summer - but you know it will be wetsuit time before you know it. We do love the winter waves too - something special about the whole experience. We are certain you understand. In regard to the East Coast, it does sound like it would be fun to head over for a surf day but we haven't done it yet. There is always so much going on and we love our beach - surf or no surf. How about you? You ever take trips over?

 

[Bobby J]

Alot. I watch www.magicseaweed.com If it looks good I go. I will post next time I am heading and maybe we can all make a SoWAl surf trip! :clap_1: