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Ocean Reef Absolute Auction Results

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http://www.vrbo.com/178971

Here's one, anyone care to cashflow this one based on the above calculations? How about a conservative estimate of rentals. For instance who wouldn't use their own condo during the summer at least one week, and snowbirds don't rent large units or in groups. So you might be lucky to get holidays and weekends in the winter. You also probably wouldn't want college students in there during spring break. 2009 has 15 weeks between Memorial Day and Labor Day. That would be $30,000 if booked the entire summer and no owner use. Everything outside those dates is gravy.
 
http://www.vrbo.com/178971

Here's one, anyone care to cashflow this one based on the above calculations? How about a conservative estimate of rentals. For instance who wouldn't use their own condo during the summer at least one week, and snowbirds don't rent large units or in groups. So you might be lucky to get holidays and weekends in the winter. You also probably wouldn't want college students in there during spring break. 2009 has 15 weeks between Memorial Day and Labor Day. That would be $30,000 if booked the entire summer and no owner use. Everything outside those dates is gravy.

...well, the availability calander for this condo is blank for the entire year, so I'll go out on a limb and say the present cashflow is definately negative.

.
 
Generally in a condo you are going to have COA dues that will cover water, trash, pest control, and in most cases cable. However power is always metered seperately unless your in an oldy like Pinnacle Port.

And those power bills are going up for a SECOND time this year!

Gulf Power Gets Second Rate Increase Of The Year

For the second time this year, Gulf Power has been granted a rate increase by the Florida Public Service commission.

Gulf Power Company customers will see a nine percent increase in their billed rate beginning in January. That will increase the cost of 1,000 kilowatt hour for residential customers from $113.76 to $124.23. In September 2007, that same 1,000 kilowatt hours would have cost just $70.29.

Residential Gulf Power customers saw an increase of 11.3 percent in September. A single annual increase is usually granted in November to go into effect in January. Overall, that?s about a 21 percent increase this year.
 
Hi,

Don't post often but this one raises a question. Don't property/wind insurance and property taxes need to count as expenses? Utilities, power, water, trash, pest control, etc? Surely these would turn the positive negative quickly. Thoughts? Thx.

Building/structure would be covered by the HOA, but you probably also want a separate policy to cover the contents of the unit, and it's probably not a bad idea to have a little extra liability on top of what the HOA carries in case some drunken idiot wants to go balcony diving and their estate claims the railings on your unit weren't high enough to prevent the fall.
 
And those power bills are going up for a SECOND time this year!

Gulf Power Gets Second Rate Increase Of The Year

For the second time this year, Gulf Power has been granted a rate increase by the Florida Public Service commission.

Gulf Power Company customers will see a nine percent increase in their billed rate beginning in January. That will increase the cost of 1,000 kilowatt hour for residential customers from $113.76 to $124.23. In September 2007, that same 1,000 kilowatt hours would have cost just $70.29.

Residential Gulf Power customers saw an increase of 11.3 percent in September. A single annual increase is usually granted in November to go into effect in January. Overall, that?s about a 21 percent increase this year.

So glad not to be paying Gulf Power's highway robbery anymore.

Building/structure would be covered by the HOA, but you probably also want a separate policy to cover the contents of the unit, and it's probably not a bad idea to have a little extra liability on top of what the HOA carries in case some drunken idiot wants to go balcony diving and their estate claims the railings on your unit weren't high enough to prevent the fall.

While I do agree that a little extra liability is a good idea you probably aren't going to get sued for balcony railings as they are to code and that would make for a pretty quick dismissal.
 
I ran some numbers on the 4BR, Ocean Reef unit priced at $359,900 able to generate $30K annual - assuming you're using VRBO so that's your net rental income - none paid to a management company.

Key expenses are taxes, maintenance, HOA and Interest expense.

20% down, 6.5% 30 yr fixed, cost to buyer at closing of 2.5% of the loan amount, tax rate of 35%, 5 yr time horizon and 4% commission on the sale. I use a discount rate of 15%. Costs, rents and value of the unit rise at 5% per year.

With these assumptions the unit doesn't provide positive value. You'd be better off putting your money in a more secure investment.

What would it take?

Annual increase in value of 7-10% makes it attractive.

Or, getting annual rents up to 35-40,000 per year also make it attractive.

Assuming the original assumptions are correct, another way to consider the investment is how much would you be willing to pay?

Under 325K.

If you are very conservative and want to assume 0 appreciation, it only makes sense at around 210K with all other assumptions unchanged.

None of this factors in the value of owning a piece of paradise.
 
I like Amerisave's website to check on current rates www.amerisave.com

30 yr fixed rate mortgages, @ 20% down, in Walton County for Investment Purposes with a good credit score are available from mid-5's to mid-7's depending on the points you're willing to pay.

As much as people are talking / reading about the "credit crunch" - credit's available at a reasonable cost if you can document income, assets and have a decent credit score.
 
As much as people are talking / reading about the "credit crunch" - credit's available at a reasonable cost if you can document income, assets and have a decent credit score.

The lofty "value" of RE here, across the nation and around the world were a function of credit availability to the masses who didn't fit that criteria...folks who can wrap their mind around that will understand that prices will continue to fall.
 
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