But based on yesterday's results, I don't see an all out revolt against incumbents or a major shift in parties.
In the three key races (per the media) PA, KY and AR, the only potential surprise was Specter. In reality, that isn't a true attack on incumbents but the Democrats kicking out a Red-Coat who has shown that he wasn't "liberal" enough for the district. The Dem's that want to move farther left actually won in that race.
Rand Paul isn't surprising either. He has no experience, but was running on a name. IMO, he actually will be good for the GOP, however and it will be fun to watch his future.
Blanche Lincoln is still alive and in a run-off. Since AR requires a 50% majority to avoid a run-off it is more common than not to have one when you have 3+ candidates. If she loses, it actually would be a loss for moderates and again a farther move to the left. BTW...her GOP competition will probably be in a run-off as well.
The one potential "surprise" last night (if you could call it that) was that the Dems retained Murtha's seat with Mark Critz's win. The GOP was hoping to get that seat, but it didn't happen.
Do I believe there is potential some more incumbents to lose.....sure.
Do I believe that there is a strong change possibility in the House/Senate Makeup? Jury still debating....stay tuned.
IMO Rand Paul's win was not due to name recognition. Trey Grayson actually had more name recognition due to the fact that he was our Secretary of State. Rand Paul won because he was the anti-establishment candidate. The national and state republican leaders were all backing Grayson.
