Hurricane Gustav

[AuntJulz]

Haha...yeah, we're keeping an eye on weather underground as well as noaa.gov

Just don't want double red flags/rain/etc for our vacation...but who does?

 

[jodiFL]

D*m*...I think I remember the NOGAPS one being the most accurate one (well at least the CLOSEST to accurate) and it is coming right at us.....

 

[Minnie]

well Gustav made oil go up by a dollar a barrel.

The discussion on Bloomberg was definitely upsetting. I hope they are very wrong.

 

[Jdarg]

Haha...yeah, we're keeping an eye on weather underground as well as noaa.gov

Just don't want double red flags/rain/etc for our vacation...but who does?

I hear ya. We don't want a Cat 3 or worse hurricane - so believe me, we are watching. Double red flags/rain would suck for your vacation, but would be a relief to us at this point!

 

[AuntJulz]

That's true. I spend at least 40 days per year down there and have had NO rain or bad weather in 3 years, so I consider myself lucky. In fact, we had a week of mosty green flags. Hey, a vacation is a vacation whether or not it's perfect...!

 

[BeachSiO2]

The website I follow has the storm continuing west toward Texas and not toward Sowal as of 4 EST. We'll see if they change in the morning.

 

[TreeFrog]

D*m*...I think I remember the NOGAPS one being the most accurate one (well at least the CLOSEST to accurate) and it is coming right at us.....

NOGAPS was the outlier for much of the TS Fay forecasting period. It consistently disagreed with the consensus, and the consensus pretty much turned out to be the track.

Jeff Masters' blog a couple of days ago had an analysis of which models performed best for Fay and the winner was GFDL. And he now says the similarities in Fay and Gustav are leading him to lend a little more weight to GFDL for Gustav, too.

 

[TreeFrog]

well Gustav made oil go up by a dollar a barrel.

The discussion on Bloomberg was definitely upsetting. I hope they are very wrong.

The current track runs straight at the Lousiana oil patch. Go fill your car before we go up again.

 

[30ashopper]

This'll change landfall locations a thousand time between now and the weekend. I'd say if you're planning on coming down or maybe leaving just chill and keep an eye on things until then.

 

[NoHall]

I can't remember ever saying that I was glad I didn't make plans to be in SoWal, but now I'm thinking it's a good thing I have to work on Labor Day.

C'mon up here and ride it out with me. Bring a kayak--maybe the lake will be up enough by then that we can have some funn.

Last I heard, Fay was bringing us mudslides. If Gustav brings as much craziness as Fay, I might move to the military school for a while--it's supposedly the highest spot in town.