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TS Alberto
- Thread starter bsmart
- Start date
Smiling JOe
SoWal Expert
The map on post # 9 is a link, so it remains updated. Windspeed is in the top right corner.ladydebubba60 said:
For those interested in watching live surf.
http://www.hipcbeach.com/rickandbubba/rnb_cam.htm
I know it's PCB but it should give everyone a clear live picture of what the surf is doing.
We are scheduled to come down on the 18th so I'm keeping a close eye on this thing. It seems to look like there are several other storms lining up behind this one.
http://www.hipcbeach.com/rickandbubba/rnb_cam.htm
I know it's PCB but it should give everyone a clear live picture of what the surf is doing.
We are scheduled to come down on the 18th so I'm keeping a close eye on this thing. It seems to look like there are several other storms lining up behind this one.
This is good news. Jeff Masters is back from vacation:
Posted by: JeffMasters, 11:12 AM EDT on June 11, 2006
Well, I'm back to blogging on the hurricane season of 2006 earlier than I had hoped. We managed to put together a string of nine straight days without an active tropical cyclone in the Atlantic this hurricane season, but now that streak has come to an end with the formation of Tropical Storm Alberto. I scheduled my summer vacation for the period I though most likely to have ten straight days without tropical activity, but the tropics had other ideas.
Alberto is a fairly typical-looking June tropical storm. The satellite presentation is not very impressive this morning, with most of the deep convection lying to the east of the exposed center. Strong westerly winds associated with the subtropical jet stream are removing the deep convection from the center. This wind shear is creating a very hostile environment for Alberto to survive in, let alone strengthen. With the shear forecast to strengthen, I would not be surprised to see Alberto ripped apart tonight. If this scenario does occur, the low level swirl of clouds associated with Alberto's core will drift into the center of the Gulf of Mexico and gradually decay. The main moisture to the east of the center will separate and get pulled across Florida. If Alberto manages to survive, a strong trough of low pressure moving over the Eastern U.S. will recurve the storm over Central and Northern Florida, where Alberto will rapidly lose tropical characteristics and become a very rainy low pressure system. Alberto currently has tropical storm force winds of 40-45 mph in a very small area to the northeast of the center. The central pressure has actually risen 2 mb to 1004 mb since 7 am EDT this morning, proving that this is not a healthy tropical storm. I give Alberto a less than 5% chance of making hurricane status. It is far more likely (40% chance) that Alberto will get torn apart by high wind shear before making landfall on Florida's west coast. The most likely scenario is that Alberto will hit the west coast of Florida as a weak tropical storm with maximum winds of 40 - 50 mph.
Posted on www.wunderground.com
Posted by: JeffMasters, 11:12 AM EDT on June 11, 2006
Well, I'm back to blogging on the hurricane season of 2006 earlier than I had hoped. We managed to put together a string of nine straight days without an active tropical cyclone in the Atlantic this hurricane season, but now that streak has come to an end with the formation of Tropical Storm Alberto. I scheduled my summer vacation for the period I though most likely to have ten straight days without tropical activity, but the tropics had other ideas.
Alberto is a fairly typical-looking June tropical storm. The satellite presentation is not very impressive this morning, with most of the deep convection lying to the east of the exposed center. Strong westerly winds associated with the subtropical jet stream are removing the deep convection from the center. This wind shear is creating a very hostile environment for Alberto to survive in, let alone strengthen. With the shear forecast to strengthen, I would not be surprised to see Alberto ripped apart tonight. If this scenario does occur, the low level swirl of clouds associated with Alberto's core will drift into the center of the Gulf of Mexico and gradually decay. The main moisture to the east of the center will separate and get pulled across Florida. If Alberto manages to survive, a strong trough of low pressure moving over the Eastern U.S. will recurve the storm over Central and Northern Florida, where Alberto will rapidly lose tropical characteristics and become a very rainy low pressure system. Alberto currently has tropical storm force winds of 40-45 mph in a very small area to the northeast of the center. The central pressure has actually risen 2 mb to 1004 mb since 7 am EDT this morning, proving that this is not a healthy tropical storm. I give Alberto a less than 5% chance of making hurricane status. It is far more likely (40% chance) that Alberto will get torn apart by high wind shear before making landfall on Florida's west coast. The most likely scenario is that Alberto will hit the west coast of Florida as a weak tropical storm with maximum winds of 40 - 50 mph.
Posted on www.wunderground.com
TooFarTampa
SoWal Insider
Poor Dr. Masters can't catch a break.
We were at Sea World today and got socked by what I can only imagine was a squall or rain band from Alberto, such as it is. It came up very fast and got us just as we were crossing the parking lot back to our hotel. Very sudden, very windy and very cool temps. We drove home and got through it rather quickly. Things are cloudy but fine here in Tampa for now.
I'd really rather have it come this way than the Panhandle. Arlene left such a mess last year ... those beaches need a break from the little stuff AND big stuff.
We were at Sea World today and got socked by what I can only imagine was a squall or rain band from Alberto, such as it is. It came up very fast and got us just as we were crossing the parking lot back to our hotel. Very sudden, very windy and very cool temps. We drove home and got through it rather quickly. Things are cloudy but fine here in Tampa for now.
I'd really rather have it come this way than the Panhandle. Arlene left such a mess last year ... those beaches need a break from the little stuff AND big stuff.
Lady D
SoWal Insider
Cil, I like your picture of the person ducking behind the couch. Too cute! They are saying it mainly is going to be a rainmaker anyway. Hope it puts out those forest fires that are burning down there. Too Far Tampa, don't know how hot it has been down there, but it was 98 here today. We could use that rain up here. We are below normal for the year and month! Need it to cool things off!
TreeFrog
Beach Fanatic
oldbowler said:
It's partly cloudy all day, with what looks like a line of showers looming, then disappearing. The wind picked up about 4PM, and now it's cooler with a gusty but pleasant wind that has broken the hot stillness from earlier in the day. Not a drop of the much-needed rain yet. Surf's coming up too. Whitecaps to the horizon, although wave heights at the beach are still only about 2 feet or so.
Smiling JOe
SoWal Expert
When I left the beach today, I would guess the wave height to be around 4 ft, and I did receive a light shower around 730am this morning. I have pics, but I have not looked at them yet. As Tree says, the weather has picked up, and the flags are now flying red. Surf is still not great yet, but the surfers expect it to pick up around sunset or maybe later tonight.TreeFrog said: